Tuesday, December 20, 2016

First set of 100 $1.5 18 seater SNG Turbo completed



Well the first set of 100 has been completed.
The goal I did set was to make a profit. But I did end up in red figures. A loss of $7.5.

The idea was the end on each paid place at least 7 times.
With the fourth places I did came close with 6, I did very well at the second places with 10 times.
But only won 4 and also got 4 times the bronze medal.

$1.5 18
Target
Actual
Wins
7
4
Second
7
10
3rd
7
4
4th
7
6
Pay-out
150
142,5


I never was ahead of the actual target, which has a strange impact on confidence.
I did not only had a loosing streak but also a very cold streak, where I did 5 times on an evening with pocket kings all-in pre-flop. Once a ran into aces, on the other occasions the board gave the villans the wins. It is still hard to overcome this. At such times you are always looking at situations where lady fortune was on your side, but for some strange reason you can’t find them.

But besides bad luck that are many areas for improvement, which is a good thing.
I should be capable of decreasing my early exits and improve the number of FT.

The good thing now is that we have a benchmark, also we can now also indicate where I do want to improve. I’m not talking about making a profit, cause I do hope that this will be the result of this.
I want to increase my FT% with 5%.
I do want to decrease my early exit (places 18-15) with 5%.
I doubt that I can improve my number of second places.

We will see how it will go with the second set of 100.

Cheers,
Dremeber

Friday, December 09, 2016

November recap

November was my first complete month back at the online poker tables.
Well how did I do?

Total:
Played 95 SNGs.
Profit/Loss: +$8.55
ITM: 23.16%
ROI: 6%.

18 seaters $1.5:
Played 63 SNGs.
Profit/Loss:-$11.38
ITM: 22.22%
ROI :-12.04
Avg result: 8.71

45 seater $1.5:
Played 32 SNGs.
Profit/Loss: +$19.93
ITM: 25%
ROI: +41.52
Avg result: 23,63

Not really what I did expect. The most important thing is that I did made a profit and that I did enjoy myself.
On the 45 seater field I content. Made a profit and a more than decent ROI. The sample size is not big enough to make real conclusions, but the start is there.

On the 18 seater field it is a real disappointment. Not enough cashes, not enough wins. Only 3!!! I did had my share of bad luck, my KK for example never won!!! Aces were cracked.
Not all of these bad results can be related to loosing races of getting one outers against, but to be honest at least 15 or 20 games, were just played badly.

Also came pretty close to achieving Chromestar but missed it by 5 or 6 SNGs. I could have achieved it, but this would have meant that I should have skipper my biweekly live game.

But now I do have a benchmark and can work from there.
The idea is to improve on the 18 seater tables and aiming for the same results on the 45 seater.

Next post will be about the first set of 100 18 seaters.

Good Luck,
Dremebe


Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Status update

To be honest, it is not going according to plan.
So far, I have played 31 18 seater's and writing red figures. I'm down $1.35. Momentary, I'm running a loosing streak of 8 games. Only 6 times ITM, the good thing is that these are 2 wins and 3 third places.
Strangely I don't have the idea that I'm playing badly, when I'm pushing I'm always the favourite but rarely winning these pushes. When I'm racing I'm always loosing. I can remeber a faulty push where I did ran into a better flush, should have played this hand more conservative.

I'm disappointed however over the final tables I'm reaching. Not even 50%. Work ahead.
So the plan was to get 27 cashes in 100 games. Which is till possible, 69 games left.

But I did add the 45 seater's to my game plan. Each time when I do fire up 2 18 seaters, I also start a 45 seater. Already played 8 of them, 2 cashes, good for a profit of $3,29. So for the moment it was a good choice to add these to the gaming plan.


  Actual Target Completed Left  
Played 31 100 31% 69  
Wins 2 7 28,57% 5 7,25%
Second 3 7 42,86% 4 5,80%
Third 1 7 14,29% 6 8,70%
4th 0 7 0,00% 7 10,14%
Pay-out 45,15 150 30,10% 104,85 1,52

I really need to improve in result, otherwise the challenge will quickly become a mission impossible.

Cheers,
Dremeber

Thursday, November 03, 2016

Looking back part and forward part II



I do have 964 SNGs in my database. Most of them are 18 seaters, but also 36, 40, 45 and 180 seaters all at different buy-ins.
My total results are:
SNGs played: 964
Total buy-in: $2269.95
Total Pay-out: $2309.89
Profit: $39.94
ITM%: 23.96%
Profit per SNG: $0.04

Seats
Number
Profit/Loss
ITM%
Profit per game
18
844
$-87.82
25%
$-0.1
36
1
$-2.2
0%
$-2.2
40
2
$-2.2
0%
$-1.1
45
52
$38.16
25%
$0.73
180
65
$94
10.77%
$1.45

Based on this table I should be focusing on the 45 and 180 seater. The profit @ the 180 seater, almost completely comes from winning one with a buy-in of $2.2. Good for a pay-out of $108. So it is strange to see that I did choose the 18 seater. The reason behind this is unknown to me. Maybe I should try to include some 45 or 180 seaters in the SNG I intend to play before the end of the year? But I do firmly believe

In the rest of this post I will just ignore the 36 and 40 seaters.

Lets analyze first the 18 seater, my favorite playground.

Buy-in
Number
Profit/Loss
ITM%
FT%
Profit per game
$1.2
1
$-1.2
0%
0%
$-1.2
$1.5
358
$-59.55
16.67%
33.33%
$-0.17
$1.75
277
$60.65
27.8%
53.79%
$0.22
$3.4
134
$-50.6
23.88%
53.73%
$-0.38
$3.5
6
$-15.32
16.67%
50%
$-2.55
$6.5
66
$-7.8
22.73%
40.91%
$-0.12
$7
2
$-14
0%
0%
$-7

The $1.5 and $1.75 should be analyzed combined, just as the $3.4 and $3.5. Cause these are more or less the same SNGs, but changed in buy-in level after the changes in Pokerstars.
I should avoid the higher buy-in levels, these are costing me money meaning that I’m not ready for these levels. In this prospect it is good that I did choose the $1.5 as my habitat.
The SNG above $1.75 are good for a combined loss of around $87. So all my loss at the 18 seaters can be related to these levels.

If we look at the 45 seaters, we have the following table:

Buy-in
Number
Profit/Loss
ITM%
Profit per game
$0.25
14
$-2,52
14.29%
$-0.18
$0.5
8
$11.38
50%
$1.42
$1.1
2
$2.8
50%
$1.4
$3.25
6
$-4.5
33.33%
$-0.75
$6..5
22
$31
18.18%
$1.41

The only buy-in which can reflect a little bit my level of play on the 45 seater is that $6.5 buy-in. And even this sample size is way to low to base conclusions on.
Still we have a combined profit of $38.16. At the $6.5 buy-in, I did have 4 cashes, but they represent a second place, 2 third places and a fourth place.

The sample size on the 180 seaters is also to low to analyze, but for completeness here it is:
Buy-in
Number
Profit/Loss
ITM%
Profit per game
$1
1
$-1
0%
$-1
$2.2
53
$70.6
5.66%
$1.33
$2.5
8
$-20
0%
$-2.5
$4.4
3
$44.4
33.33%
$14.8

Only the $2.2 can give me some insight. Sample size here is above 50, which could give some direction. Compared with the 45 and surely the 18 seater, the ITM% is of course much lower.
Most part of the profit is based on one 1. Without this win I would had to write red figures.

So where does this bring me?
I do know the following facts:
-          I should avoid playing on Monday or Saturday. Both are loosing days.
-          Most games are played in October and November. Days are getting shorter, so much time available to play poker.
-          I’m a winning player. Not by much, but a fact is a fact.
-          I’m not ready for higher buy-ins.
-          I should not only focus on the 18 seaters.

The plan of attack:
Like said before I do plan to play 100 18 seaters before the end of the year. Hoping to make a profit.
But based on the stats I should not neglect the 45 or 180 seater. Based on the difference in duration between these 2, I will add some 45 seaters to my game plan.
When I do start a season I will fire up 2 18 seaters and 1 45 seater. Still have to look at the buy-in level available these days. If still available I will go for the $1.1.
This choice is based on the current bankroll I have. I do aim to play 25 of these day before the end of year.

Good luck,
Dremeber