Looking back, looking forward

We are back at the online poker tables.

First my idea was just to have some fun, but this is a hard thing for me. I did made a plan to play 100 $1.5 18 SNG turbos at PokerStars. Thinking that I’m an above average player it should be easy to make a little profit from this set of 100. But this was before I decided to extract some statistics from the past. These stats did demolish my faith but also my plan.

So what do these stats say?

Looking back:

The most important thing is that I’m a loosing player on these type of SNGs.

I have 633 of these SNGs in my statistics (also includes the $1.75 18 seater). The point is that I’m only reaching the final table in 56.4% of the games, not even near the prospected 60%. Only 25,5% ITM, also way below the desired 30%.

Resulting in a loss of $0.65 over 633 games.

If we look at these stats per year:

Year	Played	Profit/Loss	ITM	ITM%	FT	FT%
2009	214	$52.1	59	27.57%	114	53.27%
2010	63	$8.55	18	28.57%	35	55.56%
2011	92	$11.58	33	35.87%	53	57.61%
2012	150	$-27.73	30	20%	67	44.67%
2013	24	$-12.28	6	25%	12	50%
2014	5	$-7.5	0	0%	2	40%
2015	76	$-35.63	13	17.11%	33	43.42%
2016	9	$10.26	3	33.33%	5	50%

Based on the early years it should be possible to make a profit, but the online poker field was completely different compared by these days. Now there are no Americans left on Stars, which apparently makes it a lot harder. But also players are better compared to the old days.

If we look at the places I’m ending I’m also getting a wake-up call.

1	35	5,53%
2	49	7,74%
3	36	5,69%
4	42	6,64%
5	41	6,48%
6	46	7,27%
7	32	5,06%
8	40	6,32%
9	36	5,69%
10	45	7,11%
11	47	7,42%
12	43	6,79%
13	35	5,53%
14	27	4,27%
15	25	3,95%
16	18	2,84%
17	21	3,32%
18	15	2,37%

I’m glad with the number of second places, but disappointed to see that in 8.5% of the games that I play, I’m not giving myself a chance by getting eliminated very early in the SNG.

This should be brought back to around 5%.

Based on weekdays I’m getting the following results:

Weekday	Played	Profit/Loss	ITM	ITM%	FT	FT%
Monday	119	$-77.03	19	15.97%	64	53.78%
Tuesday	94	$66.73	34	36.17%	50	53.19%
Wednesday	119	$-15.6	30	25.21%	70	58.82%
Thursday	118	$-16.38	29	24.58%	65	55.08%
Friday	82	$31.88	22	26.83%	44	53.66%
Saturday	57	$1.41	16	28.07%	37	64.91%
Sunday	44	$8.34	12	27.27%	27	61.36%

For some reason I should avoid playing on Monday.

Looking forward:

I have the intention to play 100 SNGs before the end of the year.

I should reach at least in 55 SNGs the final table and cash in at least 28. With the reminder to myself that a 4^th place is worth nothing.

Let’s divide this 28 evenly among the paid places. So 7 wins, 7 second places, 7 third places and 7 fourth places.

This should be enough for a small profit. ($16.32)

I do have a little of a head start. Already 9 are played, with 3 cashes. One win and 2 second places.

Good Luck,

Dremeber